Archive for May, 2010

The Coming Economic Catastrophe

Posted: 05/31/2010 by Lynn Dartez in banks


We ain’t seen nothin’ yet, says Marc Faber at the Mises Circle on Austrian economics and finance

Recently by Marc Faber: Don’t Ignore India

James Hansen and Climate Change; NASA’s Disgrace

Posted: 05/31/2010 by Lynn Dartez in CFP

By Dr. Tim Ball  Monday, May 31, 2010

imageChristopher Horner requested information from National Aeronautical and Space Administration (NASA) through Freedom of Information (FOI) and now reports, “We have asked the court to order NASA – which has evaded our Freedom of Information Act requests for three years – to turn over documents related to global warming activities undertaken by federal employees.”

It’s the pattern of blocking seen throughout the official climate science community.

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Recently the University of Virginia asked the courts to block requests for information from Attorney General Cuccinelli on the Michael Mann situation. What do they have to hide? We’re talking about scientific claims at the basis of massive global energy and economic policies. The taxpayer funds the work and will be impacted, yet they’re denied access.

Who Is In Control?

Public image is a major concern for NASA, so why have they allowed James Hansen, Director of their Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) to act as he has? There is now evidence suggesting the problem has gone on for a long time; “the equation upon which all Global Warming Theory studies are built is inherently flawed.” They then make a most devastating claim, “Worse, however, than the flaw in the equation, is that this fact has remained covered up by NASA from the first Lunar landing until now, nearly 41 years.”

NASA needs to understand weather and climate because it affects the launch orbit and landing of space vehicles. In the early years they produced excellent work like Herman and Goldberg’s 1978 book Sun, Weather and Climate. Early interests somehow changed. “Much of the institute’s early work involved study of planetary atmospheres using data collected by telescopes and space probes, and in time that led to GISS becoming a leading center of atmospheric modeling and of climate change.”
Apparently Hansen caused much of the shift as he pushed his political agenda. NASA GISS employee Gavin Schmidt provided support especially by active participation in RealClimate the attack group organized to defend the Climatic Research Unit (CRU).

Many people wondered how much of his work time went to Realclimate activities and how much represented NASA’s positions.

Hansen deflected attention from his activities by claiming he was muzzled for political ends.

His former boss Dr. John S. Theon, retired Chief of the Climate Processes Research Program at NASA completely discredited this idea. “Hansen was never muzzled even though he violated NASA’s official agency position on climate forecasting (i.e., we did not know enough to forecast climate change or mankind’s effect on it). Hansen thus embarrassed NASA by coming out with his claims of global warming in 1988 in his testimony before Congress”EPW

Hansen knew the situation because in public he presented himself either as Director of GISS or as a private citizen. He’s entitled to his views as a private citizen, but it’s an affront to imply that when speaking to a group on climate his position will not influence public opinion. Of course, his private views will influence his professional views.

Theon made his own views on global warming public after he retired in a communication to the Minority Office at the Environment and Public Works Committee on January 15, 2009. “I appreciate the opportunity to add my name to those who disagree that global warming is man-made,” His major concern was the models. “My own belief concerning anthropogenic climate change is that the models do not realistically simulate the climate system because there are many very important sub-grid scale processes that the models either replicate poorly or completely omit,” He made a disturbing comment about the data, which beyond the models is at the very heart of the climate problem. “Furthermore, some scientists have manipulated the observed data to justify their model results. In doing so, they neither explain what they have modified in the observations, nor explain how they did it. They have resisted making their work transparent so that it can be replicated independently by other scientists. This is clearly contrary to how science should be done. Thus there is no rational justification for using climate model forecasts to determine public policy,” Is Theon referring to Hansen when he talks about manipulating data to prove the models? Why didn’t Theon rein in Hansen? He explains the limitations of his position with Hansen. “I was, in effect, Hansen’s supervisor because I had to justify his funding, allocate his resources, and evaluate his results. I did not have the authority to give him his annual performance evaluation,” In the Minority Office report Theon describes Hansen as a “nice, likeable fellow,” but worries “he’s been overcome by his belief—almost religious—that he’s going to save the world.” And that’s the problem.

Either ignorance of climate science or a deliberate attempt to mislead or both

Hansen uses his bureaucratic position as Director of NASA GISS, to pursue a political agenda. He inflated the issue of human induced global warming to a global fraud in 1988 testimony before a House and Senate committee when he said; “the greenhouse effect has been detected and it is changing our climate now” This shows either ignorance of climate science or a deliberate attempt to mislead or both. The phrasing suggests incorrectly the greenhouse effect is new. There is no evidence, except in the computer models, that it is causing current climate change. He capped this with another unsupportable statement that he was, “99 percent certain that the warming trend was not a natural variation but was caused by a buildup of carbon dioxide and other artificial gases in the atmosphere.”

NASA GISS Controls And “Adjusts” Data

Besides its focus on modeling and climate change NASA GISS established itself as the source of global temperatures. It’s probably the record Theon refers to in his comment about data because it has consistently been the centre of controversy.

One was discovery of the so-called the Y2K error, which resulted in a significant change in the US temperature record. The claim 1998 was the warmest year on record and 9 of 10 of the warmest years were in that decade was amended to 1934 being the warmest and 4 of the top 10 were in the 1930s.

Emails related to this incident obtained through freedom of information prompted the comment, “Climate activist and arch-druid of the AGW movement James Hansen caught out telling porkies? Now that would be a tragedy for the Climate Fear Promotion industry! “ (Porkies is English slang for lies.)

Each year global annual temperatures are produced by different agencies and every time the NASA GISS data shows a more pronounced warming. “Each time Hansen announces that the GISS has discovered a better way to statistically modify actual US ground temperatures, warming becomes even more pronounced and any cooling less pronounced.”

All adjustments enhance the warming trend to support Theon’s comment that, “some scientists have manipulated the observed data to justify their model results.” Even with adjustments model projections overestimate the warming, but then exact replication would raise more suspicions.

“Hansen is a political activist who spreads fear even when NASA’s own data contradict him”

In the July/August 2008 issue of Launch Magazine NASA Astronaut and Physicist Walter Cunningham wrote, “Hansen is a political activist who spreads fear even when NASA’s own data contradict him,”“NASA should be at the forefront in the collection of scientific evidence and debunking the current hysteria over human-caused, or Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW). Unfortunately, it’s becoming just another agency caught up in the politics of global warming, or worse, politicized science.”

Actions Speak Louder Than Words

Here are NASA’s own words about transparency. “NASA is expanding transparency, participation, and collaboration and creating a new level of openness and accountability. We are focusing on embedding open government into three integrated aspects of our operations—policy, technology, and culture.”

Actions of NASA GISS under James Hansen makes them a mockery.

Bus-bound PR Press Poolies Miss the Boat in Chicago

Posted: 05/31/2010 by Lynn Dartez in CFP

By Judi McLeod  Monday, May 31, 2010

imageQuestion to the Press Poolies holed up in a bus in front of Marty Nesbitt’s mansion yesterday: Where was the big welcome to the returning Son-of-Chicago President Barack Obama?

Co-poolies: Did you see one Welcome Home banner, any balloons, a marching band with fifes and drums? Anything to indicate that Chicagoans were happy to have the Obamas back?

Strange homecoming indeed for the Obama family in Chicago together for the first time in the last year and a half and a far cry from Election Night at Grant Park.

Did you find out anything other than while the Obamas were barbecuing at Marty’s, the mansion next door is home to Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan?

Did you devise a way to see who might be slipping through the back door, or were you all too hot and bothered in your Secret Service protected bus?

We weren’t hoping for any poolies to go scouting for DNA from the prez’s martini glass, just why Obama would head straight for buddy territory at Nesbitt’s.

Since it was hardly likely that Farrakhan’s 22 bodyguards could do you any real harm, why the unidentified co-pooler blow-by-blow timeline on the Drudge Report this morning?

You made it sound as though Motown Baptist minister and Pool Report reader Rev. Gary Hunter saved you from ravening wolves.

Do we have any proof that while you were fending off his “machismo” bodyguards that Farrakhan didn’t slip into the POTUS barbecue through the back door?

Searching the address of the house next door via Google and finding notfortourists.com and taxexemptworld.com is something any teenager could do from his family’s basement.  That’s as much ingenuity you could come up with?

Now that we know that you can use search engines, how about using it to investigate Obama’s mysterious past?

It was you press poolers who got all the attention to the macho bodyguards, making it appear that you needed rescuing by the Secret Service.

Did you ever stop and think that the bodyguards were providing a distraction to keep you from knowing who was at the barbecue at Marty’s?

When the bodyguards told the Secret Service they did not know Obama was at Nesbitt’s, did you ever wonder how this was even possible.  Nesbitt did not do the neighbourly thing and tip off Farrakhan that POTUS would be there?
My journalistically naive IT Guy asks: “Isn’t it the first rule of journalism not to make yourself the story?”

Meanwhile, oh the horrors of having to report on the President of the USA from a Secret Service-protected bus in a 90+degree not-so-windy Chicago.

Was economic collapse a planned power grab? Thanks tpgow

Posted: 05/31/2010 by Lynn Dartez in WND

Europe clamors to expose Bilderbergers, alleged masterminds behind money woes


Posted: May 30, 2010
8:12 pm Eastern

By Drew Zahn
© 2010 WorldNetDaily

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For years, whispers of the secretive organization of world leaders known as the Bilderberg Group were considered fodder for conspiracy theories, but in the wake of massive economic upheaval, Europe’s mainstream has joined the clamoring to find out what kind of financial wizardry has been going on behind the Bilderberg curtain.

Daniel Estulin, author of the hot-selling book,  “The True Story of the Bilderberg Group,” has even been invited to present an unprecedented speech before the European Parliament in Brussels June 1 on the subject of the secretive cabal.

“In Spain, Bilderberg is the ‘it’ topic,” Estulin told WND. “The attention this is getting in the European mainstream press is equivalent to the New York Times or Wall Street Journal publishing extensively on it.”

The attention, Estulin said, has come as his predictions on the cost of oil and other economic factors – based on investigative reporting into the Bilderbergers – have proved more accurate than other economic models in Europe’s financial meltdown.

“Economists cannot explain it without acknowledging the shadow masters working to manipulate economies,” Estulin said. “There is a general awakening taking place in people and the national press. This is no longer the domain of conspiracy theorists. Especially in Europe, we’re seeing enough cracks to have hope that this dam will break and more and more people will demand to know what the Bilderberg Group has been doing.”

Here’s your opportunity to get the full report: “The True Story of the Bilderberg Group” by Daniel Estulin

The Bilderberg Group is an annual, invitation-only conference usually with more than 100 of the globe’s most influential leaders, such as heads of state and business tycoons. It always is closed to the public and press, a privacy frequently ensured by armed agents.

WND reported attendance at last year’s event included U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner; Larry Summers, the director of the U.S. National Economic Council; Richard Holbrooke, the Obama administration’s special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan; World Bank President Robert Zoellick; European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet and European Commission president Jose Manuel Barroso.

Look at the financial players involved, look at the Bilderberg Group’s history, then look at the world economy, Estulin says – you don’t have to be a conspiracy nut to recognize elite, powerful forces at work.

“Bilderberg is not some group of demonic world leaders sitting around a table staring into a crystal ball,” Estulin laughed. “In the U.S., a lot of people mistakenly believe there are secret societies, a very small group controlling the dynamics of the entire world, instead of understanding Bilderberg as a processes-, ideas- and themes-shaping organization.

“Bilderberg is not a bogeyman,” Estulin told WND, “but it is a powerful organization. It’s a medium for bringing together financial institutions – the largest, predatory institutions in the world – which acts in ways that are now the worst enemy of society.”

How is it an enemy? Estulin believes the current destruction of the economy, and particularly the assault on capitalist economics, is something that has been done on purpose, a meltdown orchestrated from behind the scenes to keep the masses dependent on the elite.

“To these powerful people, national resources are theirs, not everyone’s,” Estulin told WND. “All these people want an empire. They don’t want the people of the world to develop, to prosper, to grow the population. They want us to work for them, where our children and our children’s children work for an elite group, the oligarchy.

“If people participate in the ideas shaping the world, if a nation is allowed to grow its own food, develop its own natural resources, be truly self-governing, it would end the Bilderbergers’ oligarchy,” Estulin said.

He cites David Rockefeller’s own admission. Rockefeller, a Bilderberg member, wrote: “Some even believe we are part of a secret cabal working against the best interests of the United States, characterizing my family and me as ‘internationalists’ and of conspiring with others around the world to build a more integrated global political and economic structure – one world, if you will. If that’s the charge, I stand guilty, and I am proud of it.”

Exposing the Bilderbergers to the world

Estulin has now been invited to speak to the European Parliament, considered one of the most powerful legislative bodies in the world, by Mario Borghezio, Italy’s most senior member.

Estulin compared his address there to an invitation to address a joint session of the U.S. Congress, a rare honor for anyone outside the ranks of the government.

Estulin believes the subject of the Bilderbergers never before has seen the light of day in front of such a highly respected audience.

His work will be part of a presentation titled “Bilderberg Group – Towards Creation of One World Company Ltd.,” which will include the work of Borghezio and British members Nigel Farage and Gerard Batten.

Estulin’s book, “The True Story of the Bilderberg Group,” is based on years of his work as a Madrid-based journalist and investigative reporter.

He connected the dots between the Bilderberg Group, world events, politicians and corporate tycoons over a period of 15 years.

Estulin reveals how the web of people and organizations has become a “shadow government whose top priority is to erase the sovereignty of all nation-states and supplant them with global corporate control of their economies under the surveillance of ‘an electronic global police state.'”

He reveals that not all members of the group are “bad,” explaining that membership is structured like concentric circles, with varying responsibilities and relationships. But it includes almost every famous player in politics and finance, such as George W. Bush, George Soros, George McGovern and Jimmy Carter.

Estulin writes: “This parallel world remains unseen in the daily struggles of most of humanity, but, believe me, it is there: a cesspool of duplicity and lies and double-speak and innuendo and blackmail and bribery. It is a surreal world of double and triple agents, of changing loyalties, of professional psychotic assassins, brainwashed black ops agents, soldiers of fortune and mercenaries, whose primary sources of income are the dirtiest and most despicable government-run subversive missions – the kind that can never be exposed.”

The conference this year is scheduled June 3-6 in Sitges, Spain.

Former British cabinet minister Lord Denis Healey, one of the founders of the group, explained the purpose of the group to Jon Ronson of the Guardian.

“Those of us in Bilderberg felt we couldn’t go on forever fighting one another for nothing and killing people and rendering millions homeless,” he said. “So we felt that a single community throughout the world would be a good thing.”

In 2009 Estulin reported his sources told him the main topic of the last year’s agenda was the world economy. He said his sources inside the group told him the movers and shakers would be discussing two options – “either a prolonged, agonizing depression that dooms the world to decades of stagnation, decline, and poverty … or an intense-but-shorter depression that paves the way for a new sustainable economic world order, with less sovereignty but more efficiency.”

Estulin reports the following items will be on the Bilderberg Group’s 2010 agenda:

  1. Will the Euro survive?
  2. Development in Europe: Europe’s exit strategy … on hold?
  3. Do we have institutions to deal with the world economy?
  4. Greece: Lessons and forward-looking strategies
  5. NATO and Afghanistan: The practical agenda for the alliance
  6. Iran and Russia: Economic and financial threats to the alliance
  7. The consequences of war against terrorism
  8. The influence of domestic issues on American foreign policy
  9. The outlook for Japan’s economy
  10. The future of the U.S. dollar: Alternative scenarios

If you’d like to sound off on this issue, please take part in the WorldNetDaily poll.

More Obama Well Sabotage Thanks Longknife

Posted: 05/30/2010 by Lynn Dartez in Obmamaaaaa File

Lame Cherry

Thursday, May 27, 2010



The lies of Obama concerning his Gulf Oil Slick staged event are coming out and proving the first assessment of this blog correct.

We now know that the original “methane ice” event was so bogus that it is the fecal matter from every bull ever producing poop in the world.

For the facts, Obama’s BP which he was in cahoots with over the Libyan terror release for oil wells there, was ordering the Transocean rig staff to remove the heavy drilling oil to be pumped out of the shaft and replaced with saltwater.

There was a tremendous fight on this oil rig over this and Obama’s BP representative won the fight to set the stage which caused the deaths of Americans, blew up this rig and is now polluting the Gulf Coast.

The evidence now points to criminal homicide as everyone knew this was a high pressure gas well, which if the heavy drilling oil was removed before it was completely capped would blow the saltwater out of the shaft in exactly the manner it did.
This would be followed by crude oil in a geyser and a tanker size cloud of natural gas which would ignite, which it did.

None of this was by chance. Every single safeguard on this rig was terminated and in the final pyrotechnic show, BP ordered the literal gassing of that oil rig as certain as if he opened a valve into a house and then lit a match to blow it up.

It appears Swiss Transocean had no knowledge of this Obama operation. I do not even believe the “Americans” of BP were aware of what was being undertaken as they almost were murdered too.
This was played close to the vest and key inspectors and key BP executives in league with Obama set the stage to detonate this rig and pollute the Gulf so America would be buying foreign oil and not American oil.

It is not in the least hard to connect the dots on staged events as they are deliberate and fill history. B. Hussein Obama is revealed as a knowing conspirator in this, by his absolute dithering in this just like telling American Soldiers to not even have their firearms loaded in Afghanistan.

Mr. Obama implements a policy of “exploration” for oil and within weeks an Obama connected BP rig blows up after every safety measure is shut down and the way to turn it into an environmental bomb is initiated deliberately by a BP “company man”.

Quote:

Rig workers regularly conducted safety drills, and sometimes lowered empty lifeboats to the water for practice, but the tests almost always occurred at the same time, Sunday mornings, and never at night, Mr. Brown said.

He said some people were unaccounted for, and he wasn’t sure anyone went to look for them.

Why would they go looking for them? They were witnesses to ecological terrorism and needed to be silenced just like the Branch Davidians were burned alive to silence them.

This was planned. It was sabotage. It was deliberate and it is murder with crimes against the entire ecological world.

Katrina was nature generated. The Gulf Oil Disaster was Obama generated.

The evidence can not be denied.

Speech being attacted again

Posted: 05/27/2010 by tpgow in 2011

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Live Oak prosecutor fired for speaking to tea party, others

It weighs right to free speech against employer protecting office’s integrity.Posted: May 24, 2010 – 7:36pm

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By Paul Pinkham

An assistant state attorney in Live Oak was fired Monday after she refused to stop speaking to tea party rallies and other groups, her boss said.

Prosecutor KrisAnne Hall asked a federal judge Friday  for a ruling that would have allowed her to keep speaking and prevented her boss, State Attorney Skip Jarvis, from following through on threats to fire her if she didn’t stop.

Courtroom arguments on that request hadn’t been scheduled by Monday afternoon, when Jarvis said he fired Hall shortly after receiving a copy of her federal complaint.

Click here to view a .pdf of the complaint filed by Hall

He called her a good prosecutor, who crossed an ethical line with her speeches and radio appearances.

Read one of Hall’s speeches

“You can’t take a job advocating for the state and go out and take a position against the state,” Jarvis said. “I advised her from my first learning of her activity that she was free to say and do whatever she desired within the law, but she could not do so while assistant counsel for the state.”

Hall, 40, said she spoke about the original intent of the U.S. Constitution, smaller government, budget deficits and Florida’s lawsuit against health care reform. Describing herself as a disabled Army veteran, she said all are federal issues she’s passionate about.

“I never said anything bad about the state. I never said anything bad about Mr. Jarvis,” said Hall. “I love being an assistant state attorney, [but] I’m not ready to give up on my constitutional rights.”

Now instead of an injunction, she and her lawyer plan to amend their complaint to sue Jarvis for retaliatory conduct.

“To fire someone over their political views doesn’t set well with most folks,” said her attorney, Gary Edinger  of Gainesville.

Jarvis said he first learned of Hall’s activities last month from a constituent after she spoke at tea party gatherings in North Florida and on a Lake City radio station.

“They were confronting me about my office being used to legitimize what they consider to be a fringe right-wing group,” Jarvis wrote in an e-mail attached to Hall’s lawsuit. “I hate to do this, but I have to ask you to disassociate yourself from these folks.”

Hall responded that she was speaking on her own time and was careful not to be introduced as an assistant state attorney. She said she spoke in response to a request to help educate people about the Constitution.

Nevertheless, Jarvis responded that she was identified as an assistant state attorney and had to stop. After several more e-mail exchanges, she replied that he was being unfair.

“Even when I was in the military, restrictions on my constitutional rights were never so unreasonable,” she said. “… I fought for these rights in the military, and as a sworn officer, I am sworn to defend them.”

The e-mails were followed by a letter from Edinger to Jarvis, warning about a potential lawsuit and challenging the state attorney’s view that Hall’s activities were in any way disruptive to the State Attorney’s Office.

Jarvis responded by letter, also attached to the lawsuit, noting that his assistants serve as appointed representatives of the state and do so knowing their outside activities have boundaries.

“She has been given a directive and now must decide whether her desire to speak outweighs her desire to retain my appointment,” Jarvis wrote May 10. “It is her decision.”

The issue balances free speech rights and a public employer’s desire to protect the integrity of the workplace, according to labor and First Amendment lawyers contacted by the Times-Union.

Lawyer Ed Birk  said an elected state attorney can weigh whether an assistant’s comments impair the public’s perception of the office.

“There’s a legitimate interest of the state attorney to operate the office in a way that instills public confidence, so there are limitations he or she can put on the assistants,” said Birk, who has several media clients. “The rule is generally does the employee’s public conduct interfere with the proper operation of the office.”

In a small community, Birk said, prosecutors often are easily recognizable, and people will naturally associate an assistant state attorney’s public comments with the office she works for.

But labor lawyer Tad Delegal  said Hall has a legitimate First Amendment claim if she was speaking on her own time and her expressed viewpoints weren’t associated with her official duties.

Rand Paul tapped into ‘anger’

Posted: 05/19/2010 by Lynn Dartez in Tea Party's
Manu Raju Manu Raju Tue May 18, 9:11 pm ET

BOWLING GREEN, Ky. – Rand Paul, the first-time candidate for elective office who has emerged as a symbol of the national tea party’s clout in Republican politics, appears to have clinched the GOP’s nomination for this state’s open Senate seat – in a victory certain to jolt the political order in Kentucky and across the country.

The 47-year-old Bowling Green ophthalmologist – who until last year was best known for being the son of Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas), whose staunch libertarian views have spawned a national grassroots following – knocked off Trey Grayson, the Kentucky secretary of state who had been the favorite of this state’s political heavyweights, most notably Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.

“I have a message, a message from the tea party, a message that is loud and clear and does not mince words: We have come to take our government back,” Paul, with his parents and the rest of his family by his side, declared to roaring supporters at a posh country club here in his hometown.

With his attention-grabbing views railing on Washington and its ballooning budget deficits, the fire-breathing Paul successfully connected with this state’s furious Republican primary voters, something that the more subdued Grayson was unable to accomplish in the fight to replace the retiring two-term Sen. Jim Bunning (R-Ky.).

“The electorate is pissed,” said Mike Shea, a long-time political adviser to McConnell. “Rand did a really good job of tapping into those themes and tapping into that anger. Trey is a nice guy, but in his commercials and everything else, he seemed completely unable to generate any kind of dialogue to indicate he was tapping into that. If you meet him, he didn’t seem like he was angry.”

With 89 percent of the precincts reporting, Paul appeared poised to seize a huge victory – leading Grayson by 59 percent to 35 percent of the vote. The Associated Press projected that Paul would win the race.

A packed crowd here at the Bowling Green Country Club let out a loud cheer when the AP projected the race for Paul, who was expected to address some 100 activists here later Tuesday.

But many of the Paul supporters had expected nothing less than resounding victory.

“I kind of expected it actually,” said Brent Young, a 45-year-old tea party activist who works with a local firm researching swine production. “I’ve really been a big supporter of his dad, and I really hope he can be elected in November. Time will tell but we really do think he’s a different kind of politician – and hopefully send a message to the GOP that we want something different.”

Paul is expected to face either Lt. Gov Daniel Mongiardo or state Attorney General Jack Conway, who are in the middle of a neck-and-neck battle for the Democratic nomination. Conway’s views are more in line with the Democratic base’s positions, and he is seen by national Democrats as a safer choice. But Mongiardo is seen as more unpredictable on the campaign trail, though his conservative views that break with the White House could appeal to rural and right-leaning voters. Conway is leading the race in early returns.

While polls showed Paul building a comfortable lead in the final weeks of the primary campaign, his win is still poised to send a shockwave threw the Republican establishment. It’s the first clear statewide victory by the disparate national tea party movement, which propelled his victory based on his calls for radical reforms to Washington, including imposing term limits on senators, mandating Congress be more sensitive to its constitutional prerogatives, constitutionally mandate Congress to balance its budget and force all legislation to directly apply to lawmakers. Absent from Paul’s campaign was much focus on socially conservative and national security views that have generated enthusiasm among tea party supporters in other states.

Conway was leading the race by just two percentage points with 92 percent of the precincts reporting.

“It’s not a real good time for any individual to be in a political position,” Republican state Sen. Carroll Gibson said simply.

Tuesday’s voting turnout appeared lighter than usual in much of the state, due to inclement weather and a lack of a presidential contest this midterm season. The day was colored by allegations from the Grayson camp that Paul’s supporters had been intimidating voters outside polling stations and had improperly sought to verify that voting machines were properly being used, allegations Paul firmly rejected.

Paul appears to have his work cut out for him uniting a divided GOP electorate here. A Public Policy Polling memo issued Tuesday found that 53 percent of likely Grayson voters had an unfavorable view of Paul, and 43 percent said firmly they would not vote for the tea party-favorite.

In his victory speech Tuesday night, Paul said nothing about Grayson and declined to extend an olive branch to his opponent’s supporters. Instead, he launched a fierce attack on President Barack Obama, accusing him of “apologizing” to the dictators and running the country towards socialism.

Beyond that, he’ll have to face a newly energized Democratic Party, which views his victory as a bright spot in an otherwise dim election year since it puts the Republican-held seat immediately in play. Already, Democrats are planning to pounce on a number of Paul’s more politically controversial views, including his calls to eliminate the Education Department, severely cut agriculture subsidies to farmers here and his advocacy for increasing the age for Social Security eligibility.

“Sometimes people run primaries different than they run general elections,” Sen. John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, told POLITICO when asked if he were concerned that Paul’s views would make him unelectable in a general election. “We’ll see what happens.”

But Paul said he will not “weave and dodge” from the tea party’s message, and he insisted that he will not moderate in the general election.

Grayson, 38, had been viewed as a rising star in the state’s Republican Party. Young, telegenic and seen as a pragmatic-minded conservative, he is one of only five living Republicans to win statewide here, where a majority of voters are either Democratic or independent. With the quiet backing of McConnell for months, Grayson was seen as the heir apparent to Bunning’s seat.

But in the final hours of the campaign that slipped away from him, Grayson’s allies began looking back at what went wrong – and the explanations ranged from failing to account for Paul’s rise early enough, a subpar advertising campaign and a failure to effectively communicate fiscal views to the electorate.

“It seemed to me that he got off to a slow start,” said state Sen. Tom Jensen, a Republican who backed Grayson. “We never really picked up the momentum. It seemed like Rand Paul had the momentum from the beginning and just didn’t lose it. They ran a good campaign.”

And several people here said Grayson failed to push back against the notion that he was the establishment choice, a politically toxic label this election year that he could have more forcefully sought to affix to his opponent.

“He accepted the mantle of being the ‘Washington D.C.’ candidate despite Paul’s obvious ties to his father, and he ceded ground on key fiscal arguments,” said Scott Jennings, a Republican strategist based in Louisville. “Grayson wanted this primary to be about national security because that’s where they thought they had the best opposition research. But this race was about spending and fiscal issues from the beginning, and Grayson’s lack of focus on that cost him early momentum which he never regained.”

As late as Monday, Grayson had complained that he couldn’t get traction on what he considered a key Paul gaffe: that a nuclear-free Iran wouldn’t be detrimental to national security. Paul had responded with a television ad calling Iran a threat, and the tit-for-tat never quite resonated with voters.

“We ran an ad and a quote from him saying that – I don’t know what else we could have done,” Grayson said. “On an issues discussion level, I’m not sure what more we could have done.”

In addition, Paul has positions that stray from the conservative line, including his hesitation over building a fence along the southern border with Mexico and for endorsing a federal ban on same-sex marriage; such positions didn’t seem to resonate with GOP primary voters in an election-year with many concerned about the budget deficit.

And Paul seemed to squash any momentum that Grayson seemed to muster. Last month, for instance, Bunning – who has a strong base of support in the conservative northern part of the state – grabbed headlines when he endorsed Paul, just a day after a new poll found the race tightening.

“I was very surprised because he had said to me straight up that he was going to stay out of the race,” Grayson told POLITICO about Bunning’s decision. “I was surprised. Based upon the things he said to me, I couldn’t reconcile that with what his actions were a month or so ago.”

But Paul benefitted greatly from his name identification as result of his father’s quixotic presidential run for the 2008 GOP nomination that spawned a buoyant band of libertarian followers. And he seemed to be doing something Grayson did not: speak directly to the mood of Republican primary voters angry at President Barack Obama’s agenda – and that anger seems to have cost Grayson his bid for the nomination.

“Obama is the best thing to happen the Republicans, but also the worst thing to happen to some Republican [politicians],” said Todd Inman, a Republican Party activist who supported Grayson.

But Paul credited a “nationwide movement” that helped him win his primary.
“What I say to Washington is, ‘Watch out, here we come.”