STRATFOR DISPUTES OBL KILLING IN ABBOTTABAD

Posted: 08/30/2011 by Lynn Dartez in 2011, military, Obmamaaaaa File

http://nation.com.pk/pakistan-news-newspaper-daily-english-online/Poli
tics/19-Aug-2011/Stratfor-disputes-OBL-killing-in-Abbottabad

ISLAMABAD – Globally recognised intelligence and forecast STRATFOR
has rejected the US Central Intelligence Agency claim that the man
killed in Abbottabad’s compound by US Naval SEALs was al-Qaeda chief
Osama bin Laden. This was one of the reasons the CIA kept Pakistan’s
premier intelligence agency Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) in dark.

The STRATFOR says: “The possibility that bin Laden was already dead
and in terms of his impact on terrorist operations, he effectively
was. That does not mean, however, that he was not an important
ideological leader or that he was not someone the United States
sought to capture or kill for his role in carrying out the most
devastating terrorist attack in the US history.’”

In its latest intelligence gathering, the STRATFOR claims that
aggressive US intelligence collection efforts have come to fruition,
as killing of Osama bin Laden was perhaps the top symbolic goal for
the CIA and all those involved in the US covert operations. Indeed,
President Obama said during his speech on May 1 that upon entering
the office, he had personally instructed CIA Director Leon Panetta
that killing the al-Qaeda leader was his top priority. The logistical
challenges of catching a single wanted individual with Bin Laden
level of resources were substantial and while 10 years, the United
States was able to accomplish the objective it set out to do in
October 2001.

Because of bin Laden’s communications limitations, since October
2001 when he fled Tora Bora after the US invasion of Afghanistan, he
has been relegated to a largely symbolic and ideological role in
al-Qaeda. Accordingly, he issued audiotapes on a little more than a
yearly basis, whereas before 2007 he was able to issue videotapes.

The growing infrequency and decreasing quality of his recorded
messages was the most notable when al-Qaeda did not release a message
marking the anniversary of 9/11 in September 2010 but later followed
up with a tape on January 21, 2011. ¬ÝThe bottom line is that from an
operational point of view, the threat posed by al-Qaeda – and the
wider jihadist movement – is no different operationally after his
death.

“The killing of al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden represents possibly
the biggest clandestine operations success for the United States
since the capture of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed in 2003,” it claimed.

The confirmation of his death is an emotional victory for the United
States and could have wider effects on the geopolitics of the region,
but bin Laden’s death is irrelevant for al-Qaeda and the wider
jihadist movement from an operational perspective.

The operation that led to bin Laden’s death at a compound deep in
Pakistan is among the most significant operational successes for the
US intelligence in the past decade.

An important local source told this scribe: “If it was not the case
why all the evidences leading to the confirmation of Laden’s death
were eliminated. His was never subjected to postmortem. Neither the
DNA was collected nor it was matched.”

Another important source conceded: “How come one of the wives of bin
Laden, Hamal, who remained in the custody of Iranian Intelligence and
hidden mole of US intelligence community made her way to Abbottabad.
Hamal never appeared in public.” “Hamal has deep US connections. When
she traveled from Iran to Pakistan her movements were under watch and
the watchers had decided Hamal to end her journey in Abbottabad”, the
sources added.

Senior intelligence analysts in Islamabad argue: “A three trillion
worth manhunt concluded very discreetly. Dead body of the ‘man
killed’ by SEALs had no media mention as was done by the US
authorities in case of Iraq’s President Saddam.”

After receiving this vital information, this scribe phoned a senior
Pakistani journalist in Washington DC early Thursday. He did not rule
out latest findings on this subject saying: “Why the CIA was in hurry
to remove all possible evidences of the bin Laden’s killing who
dominated world politics for over a decade?”

The Washinton-based journalist termed the crash of US Army’s Chinook
helicopter and killings of over 36 US Naval SEALs as a “part of the
effort to finish left over evidence which could lead to facts of May
2 US action in Abbottabad.”

The STRATFOR further states the primary threat is now posed by
al-Qaeda franchise which can attempt to stage an attack in the United
States or elsewhere in retribution for bin Laden’Äôs death, but they
do not have training or capabilities for high-casualty transnational
attacks.

Pakistan’s former spymaster Lt Gen (r) Hamid Gul told TheNation they
never challenged credence of the STRATFOR. “I agree with the latest
intelligence gathering about May 2 operation’s follow up. This
remains one of the reasons the CIA never informed its Pakistan
counterpart ISI when it decided to kill a fake bin Laden”, he said.

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Comments
  1. STRATFOR is probably correct. For one, I never did believe the government account of the Bin Laden affair. Too many questions left hanging. I think it was all staged to bolster Obozo’s image which didn’t happen.

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